Monday, January 17, 2011

Concerned about the 2783 stock market emergence bad points and six line support

 PBC decided that from January 20, 2011, the raised deposit-taking financial institutions of RMB deposit reserve ratio by 0.5 percentage points. The industry have expressed a view impact on the market.

expert opinion: the market has raised the reserve ratio is expected

Thunder Guotai Junan Li, chief economist: deposit reserve ratio to recover mobility. A-share market is currently weak shocks, when suddenly raised the deposit reserve ratio impact on the market, Li Thunder possible that short-term shocks down in the first half to maintain inflation pressure in the shock pattern.

Bohai Securities, said Cheng Wen-Wei, the central bank raised the deposit reserve Lvyi in the contraction of credit, short-term stock market there is no breakthrough. Stock up now little hope that there was little major breakthrough. 
of Southwest Securities, said Zhang Gang, this raised the deposit reserve ratio is to control inflation, which has a certain market expectations, raising the deposit reserve ratio on bank stocks have a negative impact, but the impact is not great. He said the reserve ratio increases the overall impact on the stock market limited the broader market early this week after opening to maintain a low volatility, the market is expected to usher in a half weeks after a wave of rebound, investors can focus on the consumer sector.

Cinda Securities Liu Jingde that will be released this week, economic data in December 2010, the central bank raised the reserve ratio selected at this time, can be expected CPI and other economic data will remain high. Commenting on the impact on the stock market, Liu Jingde that the market for central bank raised the reserve ratio has been expected, the market fell last week, the trend has been the early response to this message, is expected to open lower this week, the stock market higher after the shock.

technical advise: focus 2783 points and six line support

index closed last week brought out a small lower shadow Yinxian. The amount of weekly stock index continues to remain at low volume levels.

technical point of view, the broader market fell below the 5 short lines, short once again dominate ,2700-2720, 2750 area is the market's strong support level. 500 index cards from which point of view, has already dropped to 4700 points on the low end, if not quickly recover, then the test area on the support line of 4580 points, so sell into the latter part of the risk in small cap stocks has not yet been released completed. Medium-term remains to be firmly suppressed 30 lines, and the downward trend has Guaitou In addition, the value from the KDJK gradually to 50 under after Sicha forward, sell into the offer is not over. Continue to focus on 2783 points and six line support, and the pressure of 2830 points and 2850 points.

disk, market volatility on Friday, still have not broken the law, a large number of stocks down. Drop list in the front, nonferrous metals, coal stocks frequently show up. Within the industry said that from the perspective of value investing, the stock crash, hard to understand, but the speculative market sentiment is too strong, as long as the broader market fell sharply, the valuation will not be spared depression. But for some non-ferrous and coal stocks decline, some analysts believe that a larger rate of decline on Friday, although the valuation of stocks lower, but the former has a larger increase over time, a lucrative part of the funds, so the direction of choice also in the broader market not finalized before the appearance or choose the best way to profit.

strategy: adjust position ratio

the industry suggest that investors in the broader market to rally before Chinese New Year is difficult, so the best strategy for investors is to see more than action, for some has been profitable stocks, to choose to lighten up, after all, is to choose to break up the current tape, or choose not clear down the bottom. Roundup

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